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Bloody Elbow

UFC on Fox 2: Demian Maia To Face Chris Weidman On Short Notice

demian maia

demian maia

Tuesday afternoon it was announced that Mark Munoz had sustained an arm injury in training and that Michael Bisping would face Chael Sonnen for a number one contender's match for the middleweight title. After the initial shock wore off fans and media were left asking: what about Demian Maia? Maia's management was adement that he'd still fly to Chicago in hopes that the UFC would find a replacement. Well that didn't take Joe Silva and the UFC to long as Dana White has formally announced that Demian Maia would face Chris Weidman on January 28th.

The tweet said the following:

3rd fight in the FOX Jan 28th is Maia vs Undefeated Chris Weidman.

Dana confirmed with a fan that Palhares was offered the fight and turned it down. Belcher was never an option because he is hurt.

Full tweet after the jump...

SBN coverage of UFC on Fox 2

Star-divide

3rd fight in the FOX Jan 28th is Maia vs Undefeated Chris Weidman!!!
Jan 18 via Twitter for iPhone Favorite Retweet Reply

0 recs  |  199 comments

Comments

You disappoint Paul Harris.

You dissappoint

His passport is expired.

Don’t know how it works in Brazil, but in America, you can get a passport renewed in less than two weeks. It probably has more to do with his constant training as mentioned by his manager in the link posted below.

Maybe I missed it in another post but what is Belchers injury? Hope its not his eye

I think Art_Wanderlei is flashing through time like the LOST island or something.

Alan Belcher is injured?

The MMA gods are extremely cruel if this is true. Belcher’s a champ

your name is very interesting

i feel like ive seen it before somewhere…

From where I'm standing

it seems pretty original. Straight from the aether.

yeah this is the first I heard of a new Belcher injury
JOE SILVA!!!!

PUT ME IN COACH!!!!!

I think this is way too soon for Weidman.

Agreed. Phil Davis part two..although I would not object to seeing Weidman pull off the upset here.

I disagree

Weidman is a beast. Facing Maia on short notice is almost a win/win situation; if he wins then he’s an instant star, if he loses nobody will think less of him and he’ll still get the exposure. For a keen BJJ player with developing stand-up (and awesome wrestling), facing someone like Maia is probably a pretty good way to find out what you need to work on.

Agreed

I was hoping for TOquinho, but Weidman is a great choice too!

Its a win/win for him, and a big chance to step into the limelight.

Not sure it's a win-win.

Reminds me of when Ben Saunders stepped in to fight Fitch.

The difference is Saunders had lost two fights ago
True.

But “too much too soon” has been the downfall of a lot of promising careers.

Thankfully, Demian isn't the kind of guy to ruin a fighter.

He’s not going to hit him that hard and he won’t embarrass Weidman so badly that he’s broken. The dude even says he likes to win fights without hurting his opponent.

Or when Johnny Hendricks stepped up to fight Fitch

I think Weidman is going to be a LIVE dog in this fight. I can really see him pulling it off.

…..or he is going to open as a 2-1 favorite.

I can see this fight decided on the feet

It’s an interesting style matchup. I can’t really see Maia taking Weidman down unless he pulls guard, and while Weidman can probably take Maia down, I don’t think it’s wise for him to do so. I think that in the end, this fight will be decided on the feet.

They don't do a good job of developing prospects

And this is excellent evidence of that fact.

I agree 100%

Weidman should’ve been matched with 3 or 4 more low to mid level fighters before a guy like Maia. He hasn’t learned all of the skills he could’ve at this stage in his career, especially the striking aspect.

Exactly

And this is part of a larger pattern on the UFC’s part – setting up Rory McDonald with Carlos Condit in his second UFC fight, Phil Davis and Rashad Evans, the list goes on and on.

Rory almost killed Condit

Shh, you’ll ruin the narrative with your facts.

And what's the counter-narrative?

The UFC has done a fantastic job building prospects, as evidenced by the sustained success of… Brandon Vera? Charles Oliveira? Ricardo Funch? TJ Waldburger?
Some prospects work out and some don’t. That’s the nature of being a prospect. The UFC hasn’t established a solid track record of building fighters at an appropriate pace.

Jon Jones, Cain Velasquez, Junior Dos Santos

Alexander Gustafsson, Johny Hendricks….they all seem to be working out fine.

Some guys are destined to reach the top and some aren’t…the UFC isn’t designed to give you the easiest path to the top, to pad your record and prop you up to somehow seem better then you are…they test you, some people pass most of the tests, some don’t

Also….just because a prospect gets a tough fight and loses once doesn’t mean they are wrecked…plenty of young guys bounce back great after their 0 goes.

rory mac is looking pretty solid right now

that loss seemed to have motivated him further as well

The guys who just seem to be working fine were some of the only prospects that were developed properly.

Velasquez – Signed to the UFC ater two fights, was given 5 fights against low to mid-level guys like Jake O’brian, Ben Rothwell, and Brad Morris before fighting someone like Big Nog.

Jon Jones – Same situation as Velasquez, was given 6 different fights against mid-level people of varying styles before getting his contender level fight with Ryan Bader, who was also developed the same way.

These guys reached the top because they weren’t thrown into the fire before they got a chance to develop themselves and round out there skills. Charlie Breneman is the perfect example of a guy that got pushed to quickly after narrowly beating Rick Story, who fought on short notice, back in June last year. He clearly wasn’t ready to face Rumble, you could see it in the fact that the man had almost zero striking skills in his prior bouts, and was as one-dimensional as a wrestler could be, so he had no business fighting a bigger, stronger, more well-rounded wrestler at that point.

The thing I hate most about the poor development of MMA prospects in the UFC is that these guys get a lot of hype if they narrowly beat a more established fighter, but many people on sites like these don’t actually use their eyes and see the deficiencies in their skills to reasonably say “Hey, XXX did a great job in that fight with an established vet, but I saw that his striking and/or grappling needs some more work before I’d like seem him get more fights at the higher end of the division.” Once a guy beats someone who is on the cusp of title contention, usually there is no turning back after that. The last guy I recall who got throttled down in competition after a big win was JDS when he KOed Werdum, and look where he is now, he’s champion.

Jon Jones was given Stephan Bonnar pretty early

I think he was 3 fights into his deal and he was a moderate underdog to Bonnar. IIRC he took that fight on short notice too.

True, but Bonnar was a mid level LHW who hadn't fought in a year prior to the fight.

After that fight, Jones was back to fighting Jake O’brian, then another good mid level guy in Matt Hamill.

None of the guys Jones fought prior to Bader were close, meaning 1 or 2 good wins, away from a title shot at the time he fought them.

Rumble Johnson

Pushed too fast. TWICE. Chewed up and spit out by the machine. He could have been a huge draw if they brought him up right. He’s mostly to blame for he ridiculous weight cuts, but still…

Almost being the key term there

And then he took about fifty unanswered blows to the head at the end of the third round.

But in the end Carlos Killed Rory

It was a good day and a pleasant end to a largely unsatisfying PPV

Alex Gustafsson, Cain Velasquez, and Jon Jones seem to be doing alright.

But as a general rule, you’re right.

They've done Gustafsson right

But Jones and Velasquez are pretty extreme outliers. Jones made it to the UFC three months after he started fighting, and heavyweight is so thin that it’s much different than every other weight class.

Gustafsson is actually getting the Jones treatment.

Which is what all prospects, especially those 26 and under, should be receiving. A guy who’s fresh out of college wrestling shouldn’t be in the mix for a title shot in less than three years, unless they fight as many times a year as Donald Cerrone did in 2011.

Preparing for Maias guard game and ever improving kickboxing is a daunting task. Wiedman doesn’t have anything Maia hasn’t seen before and figured out. Weidman is extremely talented, but I don’t see him getting past Maia. Wish he had a full camp to prepare.

Maia will have to get this on the ground first and Weidman ismore accustomed to people pulling guard that most with a wrestling background.

I expect this to be a stand-up match a la Maia v. Miller.

Either way Maia wins. I think his kickboxing is better than Wiedmans.

But we’ve already seen Weidman make rapid improvements between his three UFC fights so who knows how good he is by now? Also, I’m not convinced Weidman will have to keep the fight standing to win.

Maia held his own against Munoz and beat Sonnen, who in my opinion is the best wrestler in MMA. Weidman doesn’t have anything Maia hasn’t seen. And 2 weeks isn’t enought time to prepare for him.

Jones and GSP have the best MMA wrestling.

And Judo in the case of Jones.

nitpicking

He’s good at Greco-Roman. Not exactly Judo, but his trips ARE good.

Thank you!!!!

Not every trip is judo. Although if it’s a trip, it ain’t G-R, either. Freestyle is what he uses.

its all Jiu Jitsu.

:-)

Sonnen is by FAR a better MMA wrestler than Jones

I think Jones is definitely up there, but Sonnen is one of the best MMA wrestler ever. Few men can do what he does, and the man is consistent.

Their wrestling games are very different

Jones uses strips and throws from the clinch, while Sonnen clinches then changes levels for the double or single.

Weidman doesn’t have anything Maia hasn’t seen

BJJ chops to go with his wrestling base?

I don’t even think this fight goes to the ground much, but Maia has better striking and will be able to utilize it to win a decision.
I dont think Wiedman isn’t talented, I think he’s great. But 2 weeks isn’t enough time to prepare. And Maia has the edge in experience.

I think Maia's the rightful favourite

But I do think Weidman has a chance. If Maia’s winning the striking exchanges I wouldn’t be all that surprised to see Weidman take it to the ground and doing reasonably well.

your right, Weidman is no joke and this is a win win situation for him and great exposure on fox
this was my thought as well, as long as Weidman doesn't get KO/Subbed in the 1st round in highlight fashion

If he can show that he can at least grit it out with the top tier in this division

how in the world does Sonnen have the best wrestling in MMA? when almost all of his losses have been by submission??

Because his submission defense has nothing to do with his wrestling.

yes
Slap yourself

After reading your post back to yourself.

hmmm

I’m not convinced Weidman will have to keep the fight standing to win.

Another INEPT living up to his acronym. Boom!

not a crazy idea

Munoz did an excellent job of shutting down Maia’s half guard game punished the body.

Weidman went to ADCCs in 2009 with one year of BJJ training and gave Galvao a hard match. The kid can straight up grapple, if he can lock down a good strong half guard, he could wear Maia down.

Please refrain from ruining my lame trash talk with your logic.

I know Weidman is good, but didn’t he end up getting posterized by Maghalaes in that ADCC? It’s just a huge step up, which rarely turns out well. If he can beat Maia, then he’s ready for prime time for sure.

On short notice

I think it will be too much, I think with a full fight camp to prep he could give Maia a hell of a fight. He might still…

I think the short notice favors Weidman

Maia was not training for a wrestler. This is another Charlie Brennaman situation, imo.

if Weidman wants to keep the fight standing and strike

then it is the fight Maia was preping for anyway. if weidman wants to take him down, then the fight is in Maia’s wheel house. Maia’s halfguard sweeps and attacks really requires time to prepare for as opposed to Rick Story who hates being on his back and was counting on being the better wrestler in his match.

He did get posterized, but so did Pe De Pano. Getting caught with a flying armbar like that doesn’t necessarily mean you’re not a great grappler.

As T.P. mentioned above, he gave Galvao a really, really hard match earlier in the tournament. I think that was a much better indicator of his grappling skills.

He's a prodigy for sure.

So is Maia though.

Is'nt INEPT in first place?

Yeah, thought so.

With that said, it might be too soon for Weidman to take on a guy like Maia.

Lawlor to Maia is a huge step up.

Enjoy it while you can.

Based on the last event’s scores, you won’t be there long.

Serra better sharpen Weidman’s sub defense.

Although I sense this will be a striking match

That's the way I envision this

I don’t see it going to the mat unless Chris wants it there. Maia has sharpened up his striking, but I feel Weidman can at least outpoint him.

We also gotta remember that Weidman is coming in on 2 weeks notice.

If his cardio holds up it will be an interesting fight for sure.

Same notice he had for his debut and he outlasted Sakara.

And he had a broken rib going in to that fight too, so he was out of the gym mostly. Weidman is a scary athlete.

Demian Maia is way more skilled than Sakara

Specially on the ground since Weidman relied on his wrestling when he was tired.

Maia grapples at quite a high pace too, once he gets a hold of someone.

Not much stalling from him.

Weidman TKO 1st

He is going to surprise a lot of people.

Maia has a pretty good beard though.

Well

that is a huge step up.

Shame Palhares couldn't do,

But as long as Maia wins this, Palhares/Maia will be a great title contender match.

Agree on Palhares

But as for the title shot, I think Vitor needs to be in contention, as well as Munoz. But Palhares v Maia would be great. I’ve wanted to see that one for a few years now.

Truly disappointing...

That fight would have been epic… Id go with Tree Stump purely because of his retard strength lol

I think we should do Vitor vs. Palhares!
neither have a realistic shot of beating Silva
This card got a whole lot better....

Really looking forward to this card now. Gonna be a fun night of fights and can’t wait to see The Count get another beating!

Dammit, Paul!!!!
Are people forgetting?

Weidman held his own at ADCC against Galvao. Obviously Maia and Galvao are two different type of BJJ players but I don’t think it’s a guaranteed submission for Demian if goes to the ground.

It never is, when's the last time Maia submitted someone in the UFC?

There’s no doubt Maia is an exceptional grappler, but he’s not been a submission machine lately.

Maia's UFC career

Started off with three RNCs and two triangles, was knocked out by Marquardt and then went 4-2 in six consecutive decisions.

I use to like Maia but now he is so boring. His stand up is not very good(its better than his early fights but has plateaued) and he no longer subs people, before he was all about the ground game, even pulling guard to get the fight to the ground.

so, using the parlance of Kefka...

this is a plateau, yes?:

Were you trying to argue against my post, because you just gave facts to support it.

4-2, 6 consecutive decisions.

He’s not exactly like Palhares where he’s ripping limbs off in round 1 any more.

Not arguing either way

Just pointing out his strange UFC career that started with 5 subs and (so far) ended with 6 decisions with a KO loss sandwiched in between.

Weidman is extremely talented. But I don’t think he’s ready for Maia.

that’s a big leap in opposition. hope he’s up to it.

didn’t he also get flying armbarred by Magalhaes? Not that it’s exactly relevant here.

Big fan of Weidman

But Maia is a BIIIIGGGG jump up compared to Tom Filthy Lawlor.

Would have liked to see him get another fight before challenging a top 10 MW

this is bullshit! Toquino! Toquino!
According to Dana's twitter

Palhares turned down the fight

This guy :-)

Is ecstatic that Bis is gonna get stomped.

I'd rather see Maia/Sonnen and Bisping/Weidman

but I get why they did it the other way around.

i agree i wanna see if chael tightened up his triangle defense

THIS IS FUCKIN AWESOME GUUUUUURL!

Sweet dreams

Weidman

I keep thinking these fights are this Friday.

shows how much coverage UFC on FX 1 is getting

Well I just saw a promo with Melvin Guillard

But it was a marathon of his fights to counter-program UFC on FX

Weidman has this fight, What has Maia done lately to make anyone think otherwise? Sure he had one good round against Munoz but so did Kendall Grove. Weidman won’t get subbed or out grappled, Maia’s stand up is improving but so has Weidmans. I’m hoping the odds are as biased as the opinions on here.

What has Weidman done to make you think he is such a lock, other than beating bottom-of-the-barrel fighters? Don’t you think Maia would look incredible impressive if he was facing those guys?

Do you really think Maia can't outgrapple Weidman?
Weidman will pull off the upset

ill sig bet it. hes got the wrestling to keep it standing, if it does go to the ground he has the jiu jitsu to avoid being subbed, and i think he is all around more athletic than maia. itl be a close decision fight but i think he guts it out ftw.

plus maia has failed to impress with his main weapon as of late. now that his striking has plateaued he needs to go back to focusing on his submissions again or all he is going to be is another MW gatekeeper.

kind of agree about his wrestling but what on earth makes you think his Bjj is nearly enough to hold off maia on the ground?
Probably because he competed at the ADCCs

after only a year of training BJJ and made it to the quarter-finals in one of the most stacked divisions, where he suffered a very close points loss to Andre Galvao, one of the best pound-for-pound submission grapplers in the world.

He is coming in on two weeks notice. His cardio might not be up to snuff for a fight, which could leave openings for Maia.

Oh certainly. I was more

responding to claims that Weidman in general isn’t in Maia’s league on the ground, when he’s done very well in the no-gi grappling arena.

Beating Daniel Tabera != Maia's no-gi record.

Weidman is skilled, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

Maia isn't exactly a cardio machine
But he has had a full camp
Doesn't necessarily mean he is going to be in better shape

There are guys who benefit from shorter training camps because they are less prone to over training.

So.. much.. Maia hate

The UFC is amazing, pumping out great fights for free, they could’ve scrapped Maia from that card and no one would’ve complained.

It’s a bad time to be a Dana/UFC hater these days.

I was just thinking about having this as the replacement fight
You obviously then texted Joe Silva, yes?
I am Joe Silva.
How does it feel to be four feet tall?
That's quite generous
I want to see Joe Silva

congratulate Big Foot after a win.

I´m sure he´ll say some good words to Big Foot´s knee

This has the potential to be similar to the Munoz - Maia bout.

Should be interesting to see if a) Weidman can keep it standing, and b) if he doesn’t, how good his jitz really is. No offense to Weidman, but subbing Jesse Bongfeldt and Tom Lawlor isn’t exactly top tier gold. But good for Weidman that he gets the opportunity. However, I’d bet on Maia.

No offense to Weidman, but subbing Jesse Bongfeldt and Tom Lawlor isn’t exactly top tier gold

Being invited to the ADCC’s and only letting Andre Galvao scrape by you on 4 points is a lot more impressive than subbing Bongfeldt and Lawlor. Then again, MMA BJJ isn’t the same as pure BJJ, but Maia has struggled to finish lower-level grapplers than Weidman in recent fights.

That's because he hasn't tried to submit people in his recent fights

he tried against Munoz but it’s hard to submit that guy.

He was all over Grove and Miranda on the ground,

but never got the tap. I wouldn’t say he “wasn’t trying”…It’s not like he was just stalling and holding position, but these days if your opponent has decent defensive grappling, it’s very difficult to get the tap if they just shell up on the ground and go into lock-down mode.

Good point

for some reason all I remember from those fights were the bad stand up.

Maia needs the win much more than Weidman at this point if he’s to be in contention in the near future..Like someone else said this is a win/win situation for Weidman

I think Weidman makes quick work of Maia, personally. I haven’t been impressed by Maia in like 3 years, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he even got subbed by Weidman. Awesome fight. I’m much more interested in Bisping/Chael and Maia/Weidman than I was the original fights. Munoz getting injured made this card a lot better. Can’t wait!

Time Joe to orgasm over Maia or Weidman’s immense improvement in striking

I like it

Very intriguing fight for a short notice bout. What else can we really ask for?

Why the HELL was Weidman opening as a -325 favorite in some Vegas betting odds?
If that is not a mistake

Bet on Maia.

Because Maia hasn’t done anything good in like 3 years?

hmmm since 2009

Maia has gone 5-3, so yeah… he sucks….

And of those he beat, how many are still in the UFC? Yeah… exactly.

Anderson Silva, top #1 fighter in the world

Has victories over Thales Leites, Patrick Cote, James Irvin, Nate Marquardt, Travis Lutter…

All fighters that are not in the UFC anymore. That’s not Anderson’s fault.

Hey, I’m with you… most of Anderson Silva’s opponents have been horrible. But that doesn’t change the fact that Maia doesn’t have a single good win in the last 3 years… am I supposed to be impressed by him beating guys like Miller, Branch or Grove? Seriously?

welcome to the Middleweight division

Look at Chael Sonnen’s wins from the last four years and tell me how many of those guys are wins you’d be impressed by or guys that are still in the UFC?

you’ll likely come around to maybe 2 or 3

there is Anderson Silva and then like 4 to 5 guys that are a cut above the rest but below Andy. Maia beats he mid-level guys and is competitive and can beat the upper tier guys which puts him in that tier.

Okami and Marquardt are better wins than anything Maia’s ever done in the UFC, including him beating Sonnen himself a few years ago. And I say that because Okami and Marquardt were clearly top 5 guys at the time Sonnen beat them, while Sonnen himself wasn’t ranked very high when Maia beat him. If that makes any sense.

Sonnen has been the same fighter for years

Maia beat the same Sonnen that beat Okami and Marquardt and that gave Andy Silva four hard rounds.

Disputing quality of wins doesn't really explain why Weidman should be a favourite

Since his main claim to fame is apparently losing gallantly to Andre Galvao at ADCC.

Weidman should be a favorite because Maia hasn’t done anything in 3 years. That’s why.

So...

beating Santiago (BJJ black belt), Sonnen, Miller (BJJ black belt), Miranda (BJJ black belt) and Grove – and this list should include Munoz too < Sakara, Bongfeldt, Lawler, 4 scrubs and Daniel Tabera at ADCC?

Riiiiiggghhhttttt.

that screams immediate betting. Lines are gonna move big, if thats the initial line. C’mon, the one taking a fight in short notice is Weidman, and he is primarily a wrestler-ground fighter. I dont see in which aspect he has got the edge besides wrestling. And Maia can be a nightmare on the ground, even if he does not submit anybody since 2009.

Despite all this underdog talk

Weidman is actually favored pretty generously in this fight (at least for now). Bodog has him at -225 right now, while Sportsbook has him at -200.

[odds as of 9:05 EST]

Aaaaand I completely missed the comment chain above mine discussing the odds

My bad.

if I was a gambler

I would put money on Maia who I hate as much as some if you hate Bisping

Why do you hate Maia?

He's Sonnen political adviser
This should be a fun fight.

I’ll be happy for whoever takes the win and on top of that getting to see Bisping and Chael both lose in the near future. As in one will lose on the UFC on Fox 2 card and the winner will be smashed by Anderson come summertime (or whenever that fight takes place).

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