6 months ago:
LAS VEGAS, NV - NOVEMBER 30: Mixed martial artist Anderson Silva holds the Knockout of the Year award for his victory over Vitor Belfort at UFC 126 at the Fighters Only World Mixed Martial Arts Awards 2011 at The Pearl concert theater at the Palms Casino Resort November 30, 2011 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
With so many fights coming up spread across eight different weight classes, it's easy to lose track of what's happening in every division. Here, we take a look at where a particular division stands right now, and where it's headed.
On this Saturday's UFC on Fox 2 show, the Middleweight division will take center stage. Though it's Light Heavyweights Rashad Evans and Phil Davis who will be headlining, the show is rounded out by a pair of intriguing Middleweight fights that became even more notable after some recent shuffling. As we prepare to watch 4 of the division's best compete on network television, let's break down where things stand at 185.
Next in Line:
As a result of Mark Munoz bowing out of this weekend's show due to injury, we now have the #2 rankedChael Sonnen vs. Michael Bisping (#7) on Fox. Dana White has stated that the winner here will be next in line for a title shot, and while those statements from Dana don't always pan out, I imagine this one will. Clearly the big fight here is Sonnen vs. Silva 2, which has been mentioned as possibly going down in Brazil. I'm no Sonnen fan, but I will be strongly rooting for him against Bisping, simply to see that rematch.
Bisping will look to use his striking to be the spoiler here. I think he's in over his head (especially taking the fight on relatively short notice), but if he can somehow manage to avoid the takedowns and outpoint Sonnen on the feet, a Bisping vs. Silva fight in England makes a lot of sense as well. It won't have nearly the sizzle of a Sonnen rematch, but it's a fine title defense.
Key Match Ups:
The problem is what comes after Sonnen or Bisping. Silva has recently started his 6th (!) year as UFC champion, which means he has systematically demolished the division. Two fights from now, Silva will be looking at either a rematch against an opponent who he handily defeated already (Maia, Belfort, Okami) or facing a new challenger who may feel a bit rushed into a title fight (Munoz, Weidman, Stann).
It's hard to know exactly where the division will go in the coming months, and who might step up to the plate. But there are a few notable upcoming fights that may help sort things out.
#5 Demian Maia vs. #19 Chris Weidman (UFC on Fox 2) - With Munoz injured and Bisping bumped up, Chris Weidman gets the call up and the biggest chance of his young career. The 7-0 fighter has been in the UFC for less than a year, but has already impressed. This is a huge fight for him, with massive rewards. A win over Maia vaults him to the top 10, and very possibly a title eliminator fight next time out. Maia is 3-1 since his loss to Silva, and due largely to the notoriously weird title fight, he feels far removed from the title scene. A win over Weidman is unlikely to get him much closer.
#3 Yushin Okami vs. #25 Tim Boetsch (UFC 144) - Okami seems to be in almost the exact same spot as Maia - a very skilled fighter, but one whose loss to Silva and lack of selling points seems to put him way outside the title picture. He's best served as a gate-keeper, which is the role he'll play against Boetsch. The Barbarian is 2-0 at Middleweight, and has looked good each time. This is a major step up for him, but like Weidman, he could really make a move with a win.
#8 Brian Stann vs. #23 Alessio Sakara (UFC on Fuel 2) - Stann is a great story and highly marketable, which makes him a perfect potential challenger. Only trouble is he lost big to Sonnen last time out. This fight feels like a bit of a softball to get him back on track. It's not that Sakara is a bad fighter, but he'll be happy to stand and trade with Stann, providing good opportunity for Stann to add a highlight reel KO and get back on track.
#5 Vitor Belfort vs. #15 Wanderlei Silva (TUF Brazil) - Vitor and Wanderlei are set to coach against each other on the Brazilian version of The Ultimate Fighter, which will air on Fuel. This is not to be confused with the traditional American version with Urijah Faber and Dominick Cruz set to coach next. Vitor and Wand will face off in the finals, as is tradition. Details are not 100% yet, with no date known, but this is a much needed fight between two legends who have looked to rematch for over 10 years.
A handful of Middleweights also factor into the title scene, but do not have any fights currently scheduled:
#4 Mark Munoz - Munoz's injury may have cleared things up at the top for a bit, but it did so by pushing him out of the immediate title picture. Hopefully he can bounce back soon. If he does, expect a tough fight against another name close to the top. Perhaps the Sonnen vs. Bisping loser?
#13 Alan Belcher- I really can not fathom Belcher as a title challenger, but he's a very talented fighter who looked good in his return last year. Stranger things have happened.
#18 Rousimar Palhares - As long as the UFC keeps lining opponents up, Toquinho will be there to rip apart their legs. The question for him is, can he defeat the upper tier of fighters? So far, he's beaten every mid level opponent, but when moved up against the likes of Dan Henderson and Nate Marquardt, he's lost. That seems like his destiny, but if he can break through that barrier, he'd make a fascinating new name at the top.
Others to Consider:
And finally, as always, those Middleweights who are outside the title picture, but should be mentioned:
Jason Miller - Last time I made this list, Mayhem was in the very closest title mix. Now, he's barely in the UFC. That's what a single truly bad performance can do to you. Where he goes from here is quite up in the air, but you can say this - his next fight out will be perhaps the most crucial fights of his career if he wants to stay in the UFC.
Constantinos Philippou - With two straight wins and the defeat of Hamman at UFC 140 standing out, Costa is starting to make nice name for himself at 185. Next up for him is Court McGee on the main card of UFC on FX 2, where Philippou could use his hands and turn some heads.
Clifford Starks - This undefeated wrestler has good potential, but is still quite new to the UFC. I only include him because his next fight happens to come on a PPV main card, as he faces Ed Herman at UFC 143. Like Jim Hettes vs. Nam Phan, this is a fight that can really launch Starks's career if he puts in a big performance for the PPV audience.
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Comments
I can see two squash match-ups
Stann vs Sakara
and Vitor vs Wanderlei
I’d really like to see Paul Harris challenge someone like Stann, someone with a big name, I guess if Munoz recovers he can face him in a classic Grappler vs Wrestler match up.
I dont know what Vitor’s career is looking like, doesn’t look like he will be challenging for the title.
As for Chael vs Bisping, this will probably be the only time I am rooting for Bisping, he does deserve a top 5 fighter unfortunately its against a wrestler with an unshakable chin, if chael loses via triangle choke he should retire from the sport and start a career in WWE.
I am in the camp of fans who agree that Bisping is fighting above his grade. Sonnen is vulnerable to submissions and The Count hasn’t won via sub since 2005. Sonnen will take him down and unless Bisping has acquired ultra-elite take-down defense this will be Sonnen’s fight to lose.
That being said, Bisping looked great against Mayhem (regardless of the quality of that match up) and I think his confidence is flying high. A title shot would not be undeserved.
I hope Paul Harris keeps this nasty little leg-mangling streak going
I really want to see him in against the likes of Sonnen and Bisping at some point. Even a potential Silva matchup (down the road of course) is mildly interesting, given the Spider’s history with heel hooks.
Gotta love him, he’s got slick submission skills and powerful take downs to get the fight where he wants it to be. I honestly believe he would beat Marquardt in a rematch (if it ever happened).
i this one will be a lot closer than most people think. bisping has fantastic TDD, and is better on the feet than Sonnen. neither one is a finisher, but i think it goes to a decision that could come out either way.
But against who? He beat Hamil, but lost to Henderson and Rashad. Sonnen is a whole other level of takedown, I read another comment here yesterday that Sonnen is a mad dog in the cage, and that’s not far off.
What is really great about Bisping is he gets up quickly; he’s hard to hold down. We’ll see on Saturday, but I think Sonnen takes him down and holds him down; Bisping maybe gets up once early, maybe even twice, but that’s it.
Honestly having to match up Sonnen/Bisping this early suck for the UFC
the best case scenario would have been that Sonnen beats Munoz and Bisping beats Maia and then Silva/Sonnen fight in Brazil and the winner faces Bisping in England.
Instead of getting 2 big matches out of it the UFC is only getting 1 and because it was a late injury replacement fight the Sonnen/Bisping matchup is not getting the attention it should.
I’ve been drinking gallons of Chris Weidman koolaid since his UFC debut. I will happily state that IF he keeps improving he could be the guy to dethrone Anderson Silva.
But I think he can do better, and it would be good for MMA if he does, he has great brand potential. (Plus, I just think he’s a pretty cool dude) I was very disappointed to see him gas so hard. But this is a guy who made Frank Trigg look like a beast.
Paul Harris makes me curious. He seems to be ascending, but he looks unstoppable when he wins. I think he’s got the potential to beat top talent. I think he’d beat Bisping, Munoz, and Sonnen. Actually, love to see him fight Sonnen,
After Chael/Bisping generates the next title challenger, and then fights Anderson come June/July, I think Munoz vs one of three possibilities will be next title challenger.
1. If Damian and Vitor BOTH win, whomever wins more convincingly will fight Munoz.
2. If Damian OR Vitor win, winner will fight Munoz.
3. If Damian and Vitor both LOSE, Palharis will fight Munoz.
If Stann wins, he is at least 2 fights removed from a title challenge. Expect him to match up with someone like Okami, should he win, Belcher, or, if the UFC is playing risky, Palhares.
Beyond that there are a too many possibilites to flesh out but Weidman and Boetsch could breath some new life into the MW division.
bisping is a way better matchup for sonnen than people think
bisping’s big weakness is power and sonnen has never knocked someone out in the UFC. if bisping keeps this standing he can rinky-dink a 29-28 decision a la hammill for sure.
silva, on the other hand, is an absolutely terrible match up for bisping. he gets the okami treatment for sure.
He was pressed against the fence the entire time. Aaron Simpson literally spent the entire 15 minutes trying to take him down but couldn’t, which is a testament of Brad’s takedown defense(Simpson was able to take down Munoz in their fight more than once). He’s got great hands, solid TDD, and is very young. Give him a couple more years and he’ll be there
Hypothetically, Is Palhares on that list? That guy would ruin Silva’s legs…..if he doesnt get ko’d first of course. And hes still fresh from that wicked easy fight he just had.
I can see two squash match-ups
Stann vs Sakara
and Vitor vs Wanderlei
I’d really like to see Paul Harris challenge someone like Stann, someone with a big name, I guess if Munoz recovers he can face him in a classic Grappler vs Wrestler match up.
I dont know what Vitor’s career is looking like, doesn’t look like he will be challenging for the title.
As for Chael vs Bisping, this will probably be the only time I am rooting for Bisping, he does deserve a top 5 fighter unfortunately its against a wrestler with an unshakable chin, if chael loses via triangle choke he should retire from the sport and start a career in WWE.
elmojo - January 23, 2012
That’s funny – I almost suggested Munoz vs. Palhares. Really, I’ll take Palhares vs. just about anyone at this point. Perhaps the Okami/Boetsch loser?
Fraser Coffeen - January 23, 2012
why not
the Okami/Boetsch winner?
merryprankster - January 23, 2012
I was thinking Boetsch/Okami winner vs. Maia/Weidman winner?
Fraser Coffeen - January 23, 2012
Dude Munoz vs. Paul Harris
that is a great fucking fight.
discoandherpes - January 23, 2012
What about mayhem for Paul Harris? I think they should feed him mayhem so he gets that big name and sends Miller out the ufc.
J smooth 420 - January 23, 2012 via mobile
Miller is coming off a loss
Why do you want to see Miller bounced?
discoandherpes - January 23, 2012
Thats a good match up too
but i feel like they train together
AfroSamurai - January 23, 2012
Whew that is a really good fight hadn't thought of that
however gotta see how long Munoz will be out. Dont want Paul without a fight for too long that man and Belcher need to be way more busy than they are
AfroSamurai - January 23, 2012
Munoz said he's only out a couple of weeks
discoandherpes - January 24, 2012
Belcher’s always injured… hard to fight more often in his case…
Shnak - January 24, 2012
Sakara will beat Stann—Sakara is very technical on the feet, but can’t handle wrestlers/submission guys. Stann is neither.
thuggis - January 23, 2012
Sakara is also prone to getting hit hard and knocked out by a hard hitter
discoandherpes - January 23, 2012
I am in the camp of fans who agree that Bisping is fighting above his grade. Sonnen is vulnerable to submissions and The Count hasn’t won via sub since 2005. Sonnen will take him down and unless Bisping has acquired ultra-elite take-down defense this will be Sonnen’s fight to lose.
That being said, Bisping looked great against Mayhem (regardless of the quality of that match up) and I think his confidence is flying high. A title shot would not be undeserved.
jackbox - January 23, 2012
This seems contradictory.
Drunken cutman - January 23, 2012
Nah, he's saying Bisping is a heavy underdog but if he does somehow beat Sonnen, he'll get a deserved title shot.
Dino756 - January 23, 2012
I hope Paul Harris keeps this nasty little leg-mangling streak going
I really want to see him in against the likes of Sonnen and Bisping at some point. Even a potential Silva matchup (down the road of course) is mildly interesting, given the Spider’s history with heel hooks.
Dave Strummer - January 23, 2012
That’s the great thing about Palhares… you can set him up with just about anyone and it’s sure to be a great fight.
Shnak - January 23, 2012
Gotta love him, he’s got slick submission skills and powerful take downs to get the fight where he wants it to be. I honestly believe he would beat Marquardt in a rematch (if it ever happened).
X5-452 - January 23, 2012
That picture is hilariously appropriate for the title.
crazybones - January 23, 2012
As of this moment, 17 people are picking Bisping.
I’d love some of whatever they’re on.
verloc - January 23, 2012
Magic pixie dust
Wishful thinking is intoxicating. Not to say I’d love an upset. I am not anti-Sonnen, I just like surprises.
jackbox - January 23, 2012
i this one will be a lot closer than most people think. bisping has fantastic TDD, and is better on the feet than Sonnen. neither one is a finisher, but i think it goes to a decision that could come out either way.
thuggis - January 23, 2012
I agree that he has great TDD
But against who? He beat Hamil, but lost to Henderson and Rashad. Sonnen is a whole other level of takedown, I read another comment here yesterday that Sonnen is a mad dog in the cage, and that’s not far off.
What is really great about Bisping is he gets up quickly; he’s hard to hold down. We’ll see on Saturday, but I think Sonnen takes him down and holds him down; Bisping maybe gets up once early, maybe even twice, but that’s it.
verloc - January 23, 2012
He "beat" Hammil only in the sense that the judges were blind
Also Mayhem got him down in the first before he gassed…I can’t see Sonnen having a problem there.
MemphisMike - January 23, 2012
Wandy also took him down.
SSreporters - January 23, 2012
Honestly having to match up Sonnen/Bisping this early suck for the UFC
the best case scenario would have been that Sonnen beats Munoz and Bisping beats Maia and then Silva/Sonnen fight in Brazil and the winner faces Bisping in England.
Instead of getting 2 big matches out of it the UFC is only getting 1 and because it was a late injury replacement fight the Sonnen/Bisping matchup is not getting the attention it should.
bigdmmafan - January 23, 2012
True, but what if Munoz AND Maia had won? Silva vs. Munoz? Ugh.
Fraser Coffeen - January 23, 2012
agreed they wouldve been pretty screwed in that respect but i wouldve liked to see a rematch between chael and maia
benten20 - January 23, 2012
I’ve been drinking gallons of Chris Weidman koolaid since his UFC debut. I will happily state that IF he keeps improving he could be the guy to dethrone Anderson Silva.
MattParker117 - January 23, 2012
I feel like a Miller Apologist
But I think he can do better, and it would be good for MMA if he does, he has great brand potential. (Plus, I just think he’s a pretty cool dude) I was very disappointed to see him gas so hard. But this is a guy who made Frank Trigg look like a beast.
Paul Harris makes me curious. He seems to be ascending, but he looks unstoppable when he wins. I think he’s got the potential to beat top talent. I think he’d beat Bisping, Munoz, and Sonnen. Actually, love to see him fight Sonnen,
DankNabbot - January 23, 2012
Love your sig, well done.
Shnak - January 23, 2012
Bring Kennedy over from Strikeforce and have him fight Stann on July 4th
You’re welcome Joe.
menckenstein - January 23, 2012
Sorry bro, they are training partners and friends...
And Stann said he will fight anyone from Jackson’s except him
ThatsHowIRoll - January 23, 2012
Is there a way to protest Vitor/Wand?
I absolutely do not want to see that, maybe a few years ago, but this is a setup for the first death in the octagon.
Ak.Death - January 23, 2012
I want to see Vitor vs Stann, personally.
MicahtheCynic - January 23, 2012
I want to see that fight. It’ll be awesome!
Shnak - January 24, 2012
Options options
After Chael/Bisping generates the next title challenger, and then fights Anderson come June/July, I think Munoz vs one of three possibilities will be next title challenger.
1. If Damian and Vitor BOTH win, whomever wins more convincingly will fight Munoz.
2. If Damian OR Vitor win, winner will fight Munoz.
3. If Damian and Vitor both LOSE, Palharis will fight Munoz.
If Stann wins, he is at least 2 fights removed from a title challenge. Expect him to match up with someone like Okami, should he win, Belcher, or, if the UFC is playing risky, Palhares.
Beyond that there are a too many possibilites to flesh out but Weidman and Boetsch could breath some new life into the MW division.
Cocytus - January 23, 2012
Damian Maia and Vitor Belfort are both #5
ShaneVeinot - January 23, 2012
This is what happens when there is a tie.
Fraser Coffeen - January 23, 2012
Oh, no one likes ties. Flip a coin, mister!
Dino756 - January 23, 2012
bisping is a way better matchup for sonnen than people think
bisping’s big weakness is power and sonnen has never knocked someone out in the UFC. if bisping keeps this standing he can rinky-dink a 29-28 decision a la hammill for sure.
silva, on the other hand, is an absolutely terrible match up for bisping. he gets the okami treatment for sure.
Clifford J - January 23, 2012
Not really
Chael has a great chin, doesn’t have to be worried about getting knocked out coming in, can push Bisping up against the fence and do what he does.
discoandherpes - January 23, 2012
What about Brad Tavares? If he keeps improving I could see him beating a lot of guys at MW
savik - January 23, 2012
As in
The Brad Tavares that got handled by Aaron Simpson in one of the worst UFC fights in recent memory?
wonderfulspam - January 23, 2012
He was pressed against the fence the entire time. Aaron Simpson literally spent the entire 15 minutes trying to take him down but couldn’t, which is a testament of Brad’s takedown defense(Simpson was able to take down Munoz in their fight more than once). He’s got great hands, solid TDD, and is very young. Give him a couple more years and he’ll be there
savik - January 23, 2012
He did not lose that fight
Perfect example of why judges need to use 10-10 rounds.
discoandherpes - January 24, 2012
Slap yoself.
T.C. Engel - January 23, 2012
I really hate to see people count the loss the Marquardt
from Paul as a true loss. Nate was punching him while he was talking to the ref come on and lets chalk it up as a NC amongst fight fans
AfroSamurai - January 23, 2012
I'm of the opinion Nate greased
The Lethal Haze - January 23, 2012
Where the Fuck....
Hypothetically, Is Palhares on that list? That guy would ruin Silva’s legs…..if he doesnt get ko’d first of course. And hes still fresh from that wicked easy fight he just had.
rawr. - January 23, 2012
Where's Hendo on the list?
Even though he’s not currently at 185 he has said he’d cut down there for Silva. He’s always “in the mix.”
xfreekx - January 23, 2012
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