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UFC On Fuel TV Results: Carlos Condit Shouldn't Wait For Georges St. Pierre

Carlos Condit (right) shouldn't wait for nine months to compete again, says Josh Nason. (Photo: Esther Lin / MMAFighting.com)

Carlos Condit (right) shouldn't wait for nine months to compete again, says Josh Nason. (Photo: Esther Lin / MMAFighting.com)

Like it or not, our society is one that thrives on having a short-term memory. This is especially the case in MMA where a fighter's most recent outing is what sticks as reality.

Enter Carlos Condit, the UFC interim 170-pound champion fresh off a title-winning performance that was as polarizing a victory as we've seen in the sport in quite some time.

Condit now sits on an interesting opportunity: enjoy his accomplishments and wait for a title unification bout against Georges St. Pierre or defend his belt for the first time this summer, either against de facto No. 1 contender Jake Ellenberger or Nick Diaz if his suspension either gets lifted or shortened. Among the writers of this site, media and fans, the opinion is split. Should Condit wait or defend?

To me, this is an easy one. Condit should defend his title this summer.

When the on-again, off-again title shot malarkey was muddying up the welterweight waters last fall, I thought Condit got screwed out of his then-promised title opportunity because St. Pierre says he demanded he fight Diaz instead. I like Condit and can appreciate how the former WEC Welterweight Champion has slowly evolved into one of the division's top talents. He earned his opportunity against Diaz a few weeks ago at UFC 143 and took advantage of it.

However, there's no doubt that his in-cage reputation took a big hit from fans and fighters alike with the win. Even his teammate at Greg Jackson's -- Diego Sanchez -- said that as a fan, he was down on the fight. People accused him of running and unfortunate connections to Kalib Starnes were made. Either you appreciated Condit's game plan or you despised it.

Even those like myself who thought Condit won felt a little empty after it was all said and done. It was ok, but was it what we expect out of a championship winning performance?

That brings us to last night when Ellenberger survived a fun scrap with Sanchez at UFC On Fuel to win his sixth in a row. With Diaz likely out of the picture for most of the next year, it's hard to deny that he's now in prime position for a title shot of his own. There's simply not anyone else that has the creds right now to justify one, which is why this rematch of their September 2009 split decision makes a lot of sense for June or July.

Well, it makes sense to me anyway. I've heard arguments about how St. Pierre/Ellenberger wouldn't be a draw if Condit was to lose and that Condit should wait for his big payday against St. Pierre in a pay-per-view (PPV) hat will draw between 800,000 to 1 million buys.

After the jump, here's what I would say to that sentiment.

Star-divide

  • St. Pierre vs. Condit or Ellenberger would draw the same amount of interest. Let's be realistic here: outside of Diaz, all other welterweight challengers to GSP are essentially the same person when it comes to promotion.
  • It's an assumption that GSP will be 100% in November, which is the month Dana White threw out recently. I'll be selfish in saying that I don't want another Cain Velasquez situation where a champion is forced to rush back and then sets his career back further after his return fight. I want one of the best in the world to be healthy for as long as he can. If that means waiting a few extra months, so be it. Yeah, yeah, no one is ever 100% but this is a bit different than a muscle pull or sprain.
  • People pointing to a possible Condit/Ellenberger clash as being a bad PPV draw need to chill out. The UFC will have 30+ shows this year, so the possibility of a poor draw as a main event is something they can shrug off quickly. They have had bad buy rates in the past and will have bad buy rates in the future.

    With that many events, not putting together a champion vs. an obvious No. 1 challenger because it would be bad for business isn't an option. (Anderson Silva vs. Yushin Okami, anyone?) There's always ways to help support in a co-main event spot.

The most important reason this needs to happen: Condit needs it to. Nine months on the shelf is too long to wait. What if he knocks out Ellenberger? That would not only help enhance a fight with GSP, but also erase this bad taste so many have in their mouths from the Diaz fight. A fighter entering the prime years of his career and fresh off achieving his dream of owning UFC gold shouldn't let the embers cool down.

It's time for Condit to cement himself as what he feels he is -- the best in the world -- and the way to do that is to fight.

SBN coverage of UFC on Fuel TV

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Comments

also:

i do not get the point of an interim belt if you don’t defend it. why not just call it a #1 contender fight?

Interesting. I don't get the point of an interim belt if you DO defend it.

At that point, you’re not just the placeholder for the champ, you’re now defending the title, whereas the champ is still on the sidelines. Might as well just strip the champion if it’s going to go on this long. Either way, I think waiting for GSP is a bad idea. Carlos could fight twice and still have time to fight GSP at the end of the year, if he’s even back by then.

hmm

i normally like your posts but i don’t agree with your title.

the point of making an interim belt (which maybe never should be done – maybe you should strip the champ if he can’t defend) is so that you can keep having title fights while you wait for the champ to get better. you have “two” champs. that’s the point. if you don’t like having two champs, either don’t make the belt or strip the champ.

so that’s why i said: what’s the point of making condit the interim champm if he isn’t going to defend it? you could just keep having WW fights and then GSP defends whenever he defends.

alternatively, you could strip GSP.

but the whole point of making the “fake” belt is to keep having WW title fights while GSP is on the shelf without stripping him. if you are going to shelve the belt for 9 months regardless, why bother with the interim belt?

i read your post as just not liking the whole idea of an “interim” champ. which is fair enough.

i guess the important thing is we both agree its a waste to leave condit on the shelf for 9 months.

Yeah, you read me right.

I wasn’t criticizing what you said, it’s just that once we’re past the interim belt fight, the unification fight should be next. It’s awkward to have the non-champ defending the non-belt, you know? If Carlos were to defend it twice, then beat GSP, does he have two defenses? Three? or none? Just a strange situation, and I realize to a degree this is just semantics. It’s just that if you’re defending the interim belt, you’re the champ now IMO. But of course my boy Carlos is in limbo until GSP returns to allow for legitimizing his claim. I do think waiting for Georges is a bad idea, I just also think there’s no guarantees on when GSP is back, and what he wants to do then. And if Georges still has some designs on fighting Nick rather than Carlos, then just strip him of the title now.

I love this discussion

If condit gets injured and gsp stay out for ages we will need to have an interim interim belt. And we should debate whether that belt should be defended.

Two things

I think it’s lame to say that everyone found Condit’s performance against Diaz underwhelming. I watched it with a dozen people, who all enjoyed the fight and Condit’s strategy immensely. I was shocked to get online and find that some people were frustrated by the fight, and then immediately deduced that most of those people were just hungry for Diaz boxing.

Secondly, Ellenberger would absolutely not draw as well against GSP as Condit would. That’s ridiculous to suggest.

Fine, some people didn't find the fight exciting,

but I agree with you. I was totally into it. If someone was waiting for Nick to unload a storm of punches against the fence, they were disappointed, whereas I was loving it as a Condit fan. Carlos had nothing to prove as far as gameness, toughness, etc. goes. What he did show was a level of discipline and composure he’s never had before. Something that went a long way to convincing me he’s the better test for George than Nick.

That's exactly how I felt
See?

There are a lot of people that feel this way, yet those who don’t are illustrating the impressions of the bout with these broad strokes, as though to suggest it was universally considered boring. I thought it was an early FOTY candidate and was REALLY hoping they’d get an immediate rematch.

Uh no to foty

Otherwise I’m with ya

I thought = subjective

Don’t mind if people disagree with that (fast paced, five rounds, the tension, Diaz talking shit, the fifth round scare, the decision). I had sensory overload.

True

I’m a huge Condit fan, but I do also like Diaz and was excited about what he’d bring to a fight with GSP (particularly from an emotional perspective). I honestly just thought it was a fantastic fight.

Yeah, I'm a bigger fan of Carlos,

but Nick is awesome to watch as well. I really wanted to see the rematch. This whole interim belt thing is going to get really screwy though. Let’s say Carlos defends it once, against Ellenberger, then GSP gets back and still wants to fight Nick instead of Condit. At what point is Carlos legitimized as the champion? Obviously the interim belt shouldn’t mean much until you beat the champ, but what happens when the champ is out for 18 months, and the interim belt is being defended multiple times? I guess if GSP wants Diaz rather than Condit, he has to give up his belt, but this all puts Carlos in a weird grey area for the foreseeable future.

I found Condit’s performance to be a championship winning performance for following such a gameplan against an opponent like Diaz. The gameplan definitely worked as it clearly frustrated Diaz, but it allowed Condit to hit Diaz constantly but take as little damage from Diaz. If that wasn’t a championship winning performance, then what is the alternative? If Condit didn’t do what he did, then the fight most likely would have went with Condit having his back to the fence and Diaz unloading on him while Condit hits some counter punches that Diaz would most likely just walk through.

see, heres the thing: Carlos is well within his rights to fight however he wants. No one is begrudging him that. IT got him the win. IT was smart. This is where this disconnect is: the hardcore fans want everyone to not only respect the game plan, but love it, and by extension the fight itself. If you didnt love watching Carlos circle throwing leg kicks at 50% power for 5 rounds, your a heathen “Just Bleed” fan who doesnt understand MMA. The truth, I believe, is somewhere in the middle. What the hardcore fans dont seem to grasp is that there is a price to pay for that gameplan. There always has been, always will be. Why was Randy Couture universally beloved? His fights were sometimes boring. Hes kind of a douche in real life, evidently. And yet, there may not be a more beloved fighter in MMA history. Why? Because, when he was fighting Tim Sylvia, outweighed by 50 lbs, with a 1 foot reach and 10 year age disadvantage, he stood right in front of him for an entire round and beat his ass. He didnt have to. He was taking him down at will. He could have taken him down at any point. In fact, Tim’s only way to win was for Randy to do exactly what he did: stand right in front of him. What I always remember about that fight was Randy, with 45 seconds left and the fight completely won, was on top in total control. What was he doing? Laying on him, holding him down and neutralizing him, playing it safe? Nope, he was desperately trying to posture up to rain down bombs. Maybe he was dumb to do that. Maybe not. All I know is, that stuff matters, no matter how hard people try to pretend that it doesnt. Its a sport, and winning is obviously important, but this isnt MLB. There is more to all of this, in combat sports more then any other, then just stats on a page.

That's fine

I’m saying what my perception was, and how I was personally surprised to see some detractors. I’m not trying to indicate what should and shouldn’t be enjoyed or exalted as the purest form of MMA. I just honestly thought it would be more widely enjoyed, and feel a lot as though the craving for Diaz boxing has muddied a lot of minds.

I think your post is sensible,

but the Couture example exists to say that people’s annoyance with Carlos ignores everything he’s done in his career, and is so transitory and biased that one exciting performance will erase people’s “short-term memory” opinion of him.

No no, you’ve got it all wrong: its a backhanded compliment to everything he has done. Lets put it this way: If Fitch had done what Carlos did, or an equivalent, would the internet have exploded? Wouldnt we all have expected that? The only way Fitch can win is by Fitching. However, Condit made a conscious choice to fight the way he did. Condit is a fabulously talented fighter, with a million tools in the toolbox, tons of heart, great recovery ability. He had many avenues down which he could have traveled in that fight. He looked at them, and actively chose to pick the safest path. Now, IM NOT SAYING HE WAS WRONG. He won, right? So whos to argue it was a wrong choice. HOWEVER……..for the hardcore fans to then sit back and say people shouldnt be remotely……whats the word…..let down? disappointed? non-plussed? that a fighter, in the biggest fight of his life, sat back and chose the path of least danger, is unrealistic at best. Like I said above, there is a reason 20,000 fans chant RAN-dy RAN-dy RAN-dy, or Chuck is on the side of Slurpee cups. There is a reason Arturo Gatti sold out Atlantic City for 5 years running, and it wasnt because he won every fight. Winning is everything……..and yet, winning doesnt mean shit. Its the paradox of boxing and MMA.

What I'm saying,

is that these feelings are transitory, and while one performance can sometimes be career defining, in Condit’s case that’s very unlikely. The guy has walked a long path in bloody footprints. I don’t particularly mind at all if people were disappointed, though many of their reactions were flat out stupid, because many other reasonable people weren’t that into Carlos performance either. That’s okay, but the antipathy won’t last long with most, Carlos’ whole career argues against it, and one or two fights down the road, wins or losses, he won’t be defined by one fight.

Agreed...

I enjoyed the fight a lot. The gameplan to beat Diaz was there and Condit executed it and had the patience to stick with it for five rounds, I thought it was a great performance.

Judging by your second point,

I take it you’re one of the people who Josh is referring to with this:

People pointing to a possible Condit/Ellenberger clash as being a bad PPV draw need to chill out.
He’s right. Condit-GSP is NOT a bigger draw than Condit-Ellenberger. They’ll both draw within 50k of each other in a 800k+ PPV buy comeback fight for GSP. It’s more ridiculous for you to think there is such a big difference.

The UFC will benefit a lot more by making Condit fight again. The difference between Condit-GSP and Ellenberger-GSP is far less than what the UFC loses with Condit-Ellenberger being put aside in favor of nothing.

I don’t believe Ellenberger is at all a #1 contender for the interim belt, but I do get the arguments on timing, since Hendricks and Kos fight in May, and that the UFC may need this for an August main event.

Is rather see Condit vs Kos, and Hendricks vs Ellenberger, but I realization that could create a big mess and know it will never happen.

Why the hell does Koscheck deserve another title shot? For beating Hughes and squeaking by Pierce?

I didn’t say he did; in fact, I said my preferred fights won’t happen because it could out Kos in title contention, and he doesn’t deserving a crack at GSP again. But he’s a tough fight for anyone else. Hendricks is better than Ellenberger, and more deserving. Is like to see one of those powerful wrestlers vs Ellenberger, because I think he wouldn’t get past those guys.

If Hendricks gets through Kos in May, then it would make perfect sense to match Condit up with Hendricks during the late summer months.

Imagine if GSP’s injury does heal like expected, then Condit could be sitting around for the best part of year, maybe more.

I don't think he should wait

It’s always better for guys to stay active.

Condit staying more active would only help him heading into his fight with GSP…it could be something like 5 months since Condit’s last fight and a year and a half since GSP’s last fight.

GSP’s ring rust and the fact that he tore his acl (never is the same after that, lose a little bit of explosiveness) could give Condit the edge he needs to beat GSP. Also, I think what Bookhouse said above is true too, they’ll wait for the Diaz situation to pan out first.

I want to see Condit fight over the summer!

Whether it happens to be against Diaz (if his suspension is lifted), or Ellenberger, I don’t care. The whole point of making Condit Interim champ was so that the welterweight title wasn’t in-active for too long. To have Condit now sit on the shelf is pointless,

Actually the point of the interim title was to add another storyline to the Diaz/Condit/GSP situation. The UFC plan was to have the interim champ fight GSP not defend it another time.

Yeah I agree.

It’s strange to think of the interim belt possibly being defended twice before GSP comes to unify them, if he even does. May just want a match with Diaz anyway. And if Carlos defends the interim belt twice then beats GSP, do we count 3 defenses? Or does he get fucked over again and have to redefend the “real” belt. This shit is silly.

Simple

While Condit waits for GSP have Ellenberger fight Kos/Hendricks winner for the Interim-Interim belt. That should clear things up.

Looking at the last few years a guy like Rashad has had

Condit could be giving up good fights/money in what could be the prime of his career. Injuries/shit happens……fight while you are able.

I want one of the best in the world to be healthy for as long as he can. If that means waiting a few extra months, so be it.

Amen to that.

condit can afford to weigh his options

see when gsp is able to return
if its not soon, then either diaz/jake

How about SCREW interim belts--They're stupid.

Ahhhhh, felt good to vent. Thanks BE.

Condit vs. Ellenberger

Fight!

he isn't star-crossed lovers with GSP

how do all of these guys keep ending up in these bad bromances with each other?

he should act like GSP can’t come back until the middle of next year and prance around like the rightful welterweight champion of the woooorrrrlllld and defend it repeatedly. if he’s really so great then the unification bout will still be in the cards. if he’s not, tough shit.

Love the phrase

“bad bromance”

'caught on a bad bromance'

ra ra, ra ra ra!

His title shot is worth millions. If he loses, oh well he lost to one of the best fighters ever, but if he wins...

You guys are trippen. There is no way if I was Condit I would fight another fight before GSP. And against whom? Ellenberger? He already beat that dude even if it was close. No way. Wait Carlos. Wait.

Probably the strongest argument for him to wait.
This

Condit has worked hard to get where he is and is on the brink of a title shot against the biggest PPV monster outside of Lesnar. You can see how much he wants this by the way he game-planned in the Diaz fight (which I’m fine with, by the way) and it would be so stupid to throw all that away.

I mean, he’s already had a title shot taken away from him so he’s got to be thinking that if he loses to Ellenberger then he loses that title shot too.

I’d hate to see him on the shelf for so long at this point in his career, but s an admitted Condit mark, I’d hate to see him lose the title shot even more.

Then whats the point of having a belt if you are not willing to defend it?
This.

Condit would have to fight Ellenberger again at some point ANYWAY. Better to do it while defending the title.

Then again, it might not matter since no one really thinks Condit is the proper champion.

Your missing the point. The fight with GSP is worth a lot more then defending it against Ellenberger.

Let Ellenberger get another win. Maybe he should fight the winner of KOS/Hendrick for the next number one contender while the title sorts its self out.

I agree

I thought the whole point of an interim champion is to not put the division on hold? If Condit holds out, then there is no point to having an interim title. They should have just called it a number one contenders bout.

Because it's a BS belt IMO.

Because it’s a BS belt IMO. The whole point of it is to unify it with the champ, not try to immediately defend it. Are we gonna have two linear championship fighters in weight classes now? I hope not.

The point of an interim belt

Is so that it can be defended while the original champion is out of commission. Noguiera didn’t hold out for a fight with Couture and Mir didn’t hold out for another fight with Lesnar. They defended the interim belt and united the titles when they could make the match up.

If GSP isn’t ready in November, you think Condit should put the whole division on hold until late 2012 to 2013? Slap yoself.

Plus I think Condit would like another paycheck if that is the case.

The Couture situation was alot different then GSP’s. GSP is hurt but on the mend. Condit is the rightful contender for the true belt. There are plenty of match ups that can happen to settle 175 while Condit waits for GSP.

175, is that junior rumbleweight?
lol 170 I meant
Condit vs Ellenberger would be the perfect main event for a FOX show

Both guys aren’t well know enough to be PPV draws, and they would gain huge exposure and built immense hype for an eventual fight with GSP.

Plus you know, both guys WAR!!

If I was Joe SIlva, I would make Condit vs Ellenberger the main event for UFC on FOX 3 in New Jersey, and bump Diaz vs Miller to the co-main event spot.

The card would look something like this:

Main Card
Carlos Condit vs Jake Ellenberger
Nate Diaz vs Jim Miller
Josh Koscheck vs Johny Hendricks
Alan Belcher vs Rousimar Palhares

Fuel Prelims
Pat Barry vs Lavar Johnson
Tony Ferguson vs Dennis Hallman
John Dodson vs Darren Uyenoyama
John Hathaway vs Pascal Krauss
Danny Castillo vs John Cholish

Facebook Prelims
Mike Massenzio vs Karlos Vemola
Louis Gaudinot vs John Lineker

now who wouldn’t tune in too see this card?

Nice idea - but with the UFC running 30+ events this year, this card seems too stacked for FOX.

Diaz is a legit main eventer, Kos Hendricks is a huge fight and some of the fuel prelims are strong enough to go on the main card of a Fox event – people like Pat Barry and Tony Ferguson

i think its about the same as the UFC on Fox 2 card, except with 4 fights on the main card instead of 3

Rashad, Chael, and Bisping are all bigger names than any fighter mentioned above, plus i don’t think there is such a thing as “too stacked”.

for comparison, this was the UFC on Fox 2 lineup:

Main Card
Rashad Evans vs Phil Davis
Chael Sonnen vs Michael Bisping
Damian Maia vs Chris Weidman

Fuel Prelims
Evan Dunham vs Nik Lentz
Mike Russow vs John Olav Einemo
Cub Swanson vs George Roop
Charles Oliveira vs Eric Wisely
Michael Johson vs Shane Roller
Joey Beltran vs Lavar Johnson

Facebook Prelims
Chris camozzi vs Dustin Jacoby

UFC on Fox 2 had 9 fighters ranked in the top 25 by sbnation
UFC on Fox 3 will have 8 fighters ranked in the top 25 by sbnation

They look pretty similar to me.

y u no like belcher ?

he is still getting his bearings in after his eye problem, lets feed bisping to paul harris instead.

The fight is already set up by the UFC
Is that picture photoshopped?

I read somewhere… possibly here… that Condit didn’t land any real punches against Nick Diaz.

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